{"id":272150,"date":"2025-06-19T10:00:11","date_gmt":"2025-06-19T08:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tuzlainfo.ba\/?p=272150"},"modified":"2025-06-18T21:41:33","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T19:41:33","slug":"inflacija-tek-dolazi-gradjane-bih-ceka-novi-udar-na-novcanike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tuzlainfo.ba\/index.php\/istaknuto\/item\/272150-inflacija-tek-dolazi-gradjane-bih-ceka-novi-udar-na-novcanike\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflacija tek dolazi: Gra\u0111ane BiH \u010deka novi udar na nov\u010danike"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bosnu i Hercegovinu tek o\u010dekuje inflacija, a mogu\u0107nosti Centralne banke da je suzbije su vrlo ograni\u010dene.
\nPoru\u010dila je ovo prije nekoliko dana Jasmina Selimovi\u0107, guvernerka Centralne banke BiH, na panelu “Geopoliti\u010dka fragmentacija i carinski pritisci: Inflacioni rizici i izazovi monetarne politike na zapadnom Balkanu” tokom 12. samita ministara finansija, guvernera i direktora poreskih uprava zemalja zapadnog Balkana koji je odr\u017ean u Be\u010di\u0107ima u Crnoj Gori, prenosi eKapija.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

– Bosna i Hercegovina, zbog aran\u017emana valutnog odbora, ima izuzetno ograni\u010dene instrumente monetarne politike, me\u0111u kojima je klju\u010dna obavezna rezerva. U prolje\u0107noj rundi projekcija revidirali smo prognoze inflacije i revidirali ih navi\u0161e u srednjem roku u odnosu na jesenju rundu. Kada je rije\u010d o putanji inflacije, o\u010dekujemo sli\u010dnu dinamiku kao i ranije, ali sa ne\u0161to vi\u0161im vrijednostima. Za period od 2025. do 2027. godine prognoziramo inflaciju od 3,5% u 2025, 2,4% u 2026. i 1,9% u 2027. godini. Me\u0111utim, brojni su faktori koji mogu poremetiti ove prognoze – od cijena hrane i energije, preko rasta izdataka za odbranu, do internih problema kao \u0161to su demografski pad i rast plata usljed nedostatka radne snage – kazala je Selimovi\u0107eva.<\/p>\n

Dodala je da je po\u010detkom 2025. godine u jednom entitetu zabilje\u017een skok minimalne zarade od \u010dak 60%, \u0161to je \u0161ok koji nijedan makroekonomski model ne mo\u017ee precizno obraditi.<\/p>\n

Predrag Mlinarevi\u0107, profesor na Ekonomskom fakultetu Univerziteta u Isto\u010dnom Sarajevu, rekao je za “Nezavisne novine” da projekcije inflacije za Bosnu i Hercegovinu u sebe uklju\u010duju djelovanje kako internih, tako i eksternih faktora.<\/p>\n

– Kada govorimo o eksternim faktorima, treba ista\u0107i da inflacija utvr\u0111ena indeksom cijena na malo ima dominantno karakter uvezene inflacije. U tom smislu rast cijena uvoznih proizvoda usljed \u0161okova ponude oli\u010denih u rastu cijena energije i hrane na svjetskom tr\u017ei\u0161tu (kao posljedice geopoliti\u010dkih tenzija i prekinutih lanaca snabdijevanja) \u0107e biti klju\u010dni generator inflacije u BiH – istakao je Mlinarevi\u0107.<\/p>\n

Prema njegovim rije\u010dima, od internih faktora inflacionog rizika treba ista\u0107i daljnju dinamiku rasta zarada podsticanu kako nedostatkom radne snage, tako i odlukama o pove\u0107anju minimalne zarade bez fiskalnog rastere\u0107enja poslodavaca.<\/p>\n

– Ipak, imaju\u0107i u vidu projekcije, sama inflacija ne\u0107e imati neki nagla\u0161eniji trend koji bi poremetio makroekonomsku stabilnost. Za neutralizaciju negativnih efekata na \u017eivotni standard najugro\u017eenijih slojeva potrebno je ja\u010dati socijalni status penzionera kroz rezanje neproduktivnih rashoda bud\u017eeta i njihovo preusmjeravanje na rast penzija. Za radni\u010dku populaciju je potrebno kroz strukturne promjene nastojati osigurati bolje pla\u0107ena radna mjesta u djelatnostima ve\u0107e dodane vrijednosti, \u0161to treba biti ultimativni cilj ekonomske politike – zaklju\u010dio je Mlinarevi\u0107.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bosnu i Hercegovinu tek o\u010dekuje inflacija, a mogu\u0107nosti Centralne banke da je suzbije su vrlo ograni\u010dene. Poru\u010dila je ovo prije nekoliko dana Jasmina Selimovi\u0107, guvernerka Centralne banke BiH, na panelu “Geopoliti\u010dka fragmentacija i carinski pritisci: Inflacioni rizici i izazovi monetarne politike na zapadnom Balkanu” tokom 12. samita ministara finansija, guvernera i direktora poreskih uprava zemalja […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":66441,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[291,304],"tags":[874,1458],"class_list":["post-272150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bosna-i-hercegovina","category-istaknuto","tag-inflacija","tag-novac"],"yoast_head":"\nInflacija tek dolazi: Gra\u0111ane BiH \u010deka novi udar na nov\u010danike<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tuzlainfo.ba\/index.php\/istaknuto\/item\/272150-inflacija-tek-dolazi-gradjane-bih-ceka-novi-udar-na-novcanike\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"bs_BA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inflacija tek dolazi: Gra\u0111ane BiH \u010deka novi udar na nov\u010danike\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bosnu i Hercegovinu tek o\u010dekuje inflacija, a mogu\u0107nosti Centralne banke da je suzbije su vrlo ograni\u010dene. Poru\u010dila je ovo prije nekoliko dana Jasmina Selimovi\u0107, guvernerka Centralne banke BiH, na panelu “Geopoliti\u010dka fragmentacija i carinski pritisci: Inflacioni rizici i izazovi monetarne politike na zapadnom Balkanu” tokom 12. samita ministara finansija, guvernera i direktora poreskih uprava zemalja […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/tuzlainfo.ba\/index.php\/istaknuto\/item\/272150-inflacija-tek-dolazi-gradjane-bih-ceka-novi-udar-na-novcanike\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"TuzlaInfo.ba\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tuzlainfo.ba\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-06-19T08:00:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/tuzlainfo.ba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/sadrzaj_2018_20181201_2012_novac.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"770\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"376\" \/>\n\t<meta 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